Sports betting is often very profitable if an individual Find out The particular techniques this “smart money” gamblers employ to persistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to Gambling.
Here’s a perfect instance. I actually analyzed the West California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West California had the particular edge in the activity. However , I also recognized that there were a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on this game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Florida vs . Louisville
This online game has all the symptoms of being one connected with the best games of the year, using the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back from being down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.
So what’s the sport search like this year?
In the event this match were turning into played on some sort of simple field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
UFABET can be on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROAD games.
These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, often the included bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not look like very much, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the distinction between a good push plus a loss.
But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home games.
And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since Dec 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points each game on home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means since their last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own opposing team by way of about thirty four details per game.
What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by means of 13 points per sport at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Nearly all of those stats were being piled up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They are yet to possessed recent games where they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 23, 24 points. That games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The end result is that this is still some sort of close activity to call up. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and definitely not bet at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a new punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big that they may possibly still win following producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of game, people critical concerning sports betting saved money they will can offer better use on forthcoming games.